tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post4667971227102407398..comments2024-03-28T00:28:09.297-07:00Comments on Draw and STRIKE!: Brian Cateshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12852057894774654639noreply@blogger.comBlogger16125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-3066111370002169492012-11-20T18:28:52.635-08:002012-11-20T18:28:52.635-08:00Wow - this site is literally an alternate reality ...Wow - this site is literally an alternate reality - even more so after the election. On top of it your pre-election smug, condescending posting style sure makes you look like a giant clown.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-8176428973671319422012-10-29T18:15:35.769-07:002012-10-29T18:15:35.769-07:00Thanks Brian...just added this blog to my list of ...Thanks Brian...just added this blog to my list of sites to visit on Nov 7th to count the # of Silverites who have the guts to show back up.jmarhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11677282132153382440noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-47391845125404857512012-10-29T14:00:51.295-07:002012-10-29T14:00:51.295-07:00This race was over long ago. You just didn't ...This race was over long ago. You just didn't know it. Brian Cateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12852057894774654639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-82937509436579153832012-10-28T13:21:48.344-07:002012-10-28T13:21:48.344-07:00Can't wait to see what douchebaggery comes out...Can't wait to see what douchebaggery comes out 11/7 after Romney eats itAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-59610266798024911642012-10-23T15:09:10.465-07:002012-10-23T15:09:10.465-07:00Ask yourself what's better for ratings - "...Ask yourself what's better for ratings - "in the bag" or "too close to call?" <br /><br />The American voter, ever played like a violin. - PRAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-21178986582726317342012-10-23T12:43:40.838-07:002012-10-23T12:43:40.838-07:00Your ability to intentionally distort what I actua...Your ability to intentionally distort what I actually say is remarkable. <br /><br />I've been clear for months: polls that use D+9 samples that also undercount Republicans and independents are fantasy. As the election draws closer, many of the pollsters will start adjusting their partisan splits to reflect actual reality. <br /><br />This is going to be somewhere between a R+1 and a R+3 turnout election. The pollsters are slowly.......oh so slowly.....moving exactly to that. And as they do, Obama sinks 'neath the waves. <br /><br />Exactly like I was telling you 3 months ago. The last polls taken will be the most accurate. This isn't because most voters are MOVING to Romney; it's because many of the pollsters are giving up the fantasy and starting to show the real numbers they've known all along. Obama has ALWAYS been behind - and moving further back. <br /><br />They tried for over 6 months to sell the idea Obama had the race in the bag, that this wasn't a contest. They gave him all the help they could with their fantasy partisan splits. It didn't work out. Romney was supposed to be over 10 points back by now. Obama was to have sealed the deal in the 1st debate. He was supposed to cruise to an easy victory. <br /><br />Nothings worked out like they had it planned. And that's a beautiful thing. Brian Cateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12852057894774654639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-15716255647944629422012-10-22T17:21:49.596-07:002012-10-22T17:21:49.596-07:00I thought you didn't believe in polls anyway. ...I thought you didn't believe in polls anyway. You're getting served over something you said you lend no credence to. You're coming unhinged and it shows in the tone of your posts and comments. Maybe you should take several chill pills until after the election and in the meantime practice your gloating for Romney's landslide win.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-87012986145401226952012-10-22T12:18:55.018-07:002012-10-22T12:18:55.018-07:00And while we're on this subject, I can hardly ...And while we're on this subject, I can hardly wait to see how many points back Silver's going to claim Romney has slid in his chances to win this race after this last debate is over. <br /><br />He's now claiming Romney slid backwards 4 points from Oct. 14-21. When he's closed all the gaps in the swings and leading in most of the polls the past week. <br /><br />But hey it's Nate Silver and apparently he's got this awesome predictive system. Best of luck with that. Brian Cateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12852057894774654639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-75006062005145812442012-10-22T12:11:42.906-07:002012-10-22T12:11:42.906-07:00Nate Silver is a hack and a fraud. He had no '...Nate Silver is a hack and a fraud. He had no 'system'. He was getting looks at thousands of Obama For America internal polls. There's a reason these campaign spend millions of dollars on polling. They hire the best pollsters they can find and they pay them top dollar to get the most accurate results. <br /><br />Nate Silver didn't 'predict' anything. Those pollsters being paid millions by OFA did the groundwork, then Silver wants you to believe he 'checked' his own results with theirs for 'verification'. <br /><br />Sure. <br /><br />Sure he did. <br /><br />And the fact he's glomming all over these Obama internal polls during the '08 election doesn't come out until it's all over. <br /><br />Just how f**king gullible are you, anyway? Brian Cateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12852057894774654639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-13209794297093936092012-10-21T14:40:30.060-07:002012-10-21T14:40:30.060-07:00Nate Silver correctly predicted the outcome of 49 ...Nate Silver correctly predicted the outcome of 49 of the 50 states plus DC in '08, and all 35 Senate races. The only one he got wrong was Indiana (which he predicted in McCain's favor), a race no one thought Obama would win.<br /><br />In 2010, he predicted 34 of the 37 Senate races. One he missed by only two points (in favor of the Republican candidate), the second was a result of only polling voters in English (again, in favor of a Republican), and the third was disputed post election day. In the House, he was only 1.8% off of the partisan make up. At the state level, he predicted 36 of the 37 gubernatorial races. The one he got wrong? Wait for it... wait for it... called in favor of the Republican, who lost by half a percentage point. Over the last 4 years he's been more accurate than Gallup has been at predicting elections.<br /><br />But you're totally right. He's just a secret Democrat in some giant conspiracy with the Obama Administration to change the polls, as if inaccurate predictions are going to change who people actually vote for. There's clearly some benefit to him risking his career and his reputation so he can try and elect some Democrats. That makes total sense.<br /><br />Wake up. Shit like this is the reason why so many people look down on conservative bloggers. Try and have some integrity. Bashing Nate Silver is not how you legitimize yourself, it's how you look like some activist right wing blogger on a mission.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-63172550813500087422012-10-21T14:08:38.374-07:002012-10-21T14:08:38.374-07:00Had people known during that 2008 race where he es...Had people known during that 2008 race where he established his amazing credentials as an 'independent blogger with his own unique system' that he was getting hundreds of OFA internal polls handed to him to look at, he never would have developed that huge following that led to his being hired to be the NTY's poll blogger. <br /><br />It wasn't until AFTER the election was over someone pulled back the curtain and revealed he was a Democratic insider. Brian Cateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12852057894774654639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-28630869342010238162012-10-20T21:28:59.361-07:002012-10-20T21:28:59.361-07:00While I believe Romney's going to win, I was m...While I believe Romney's going to win, I was mostly focusing on what Silver's claiming for the past week - an almost 7 pt drop in Romney's chance of winning. <br /><br />Suffolk quit polling NC, FL and VA a week ago because Romney is going to win them. He's within a point in Ohio right now with 19 days to go. He's got a 2-1 money advantage over Obama, who just had to borrow 15 million from the Bank of America. <br /><br />Which he'll probably blow on more useless Bain attack ads. Brian Cateshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12852057894774654639noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-66043129952161429602012-10-20T20:19:34.276-07:002012-10-20T20:19:34.276-07:00If you look at this objectively, Obama clearly has...If you look at this objectively, Obama clearly has the upper hand in electoral college math. On RCP, Virginia is a tie. Well, Obama can lose Virginia. He can lose Florida, too. Heck, he can even lose Ohio, but if he wins Ohio, he's pretty much guaranteed the election. And RCP has Obama ahead in Ohio.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-91856027432799370842012-10-20T18:46:49.223-07:002012-10-20T18:46:49.223-07:00Nate Silver is, after all, an extreme Left hemmorh...Nate Silver is, after all, an extreme Left hemmorhoid with all the attending crazy misguided political and social beliefs. Periodically glancing at the roach's nest (daily kos) has provided some rich entertainment as the kossucks have bitterly clung to Nate's silver and gold election nuggets. PTSD seems to be setting in with the realization that the Left's mountain of lies are unraveling and forming a landslide of falsity.<br /><br />What also isn't surprising is that while they're shaking in their fur-lined boots, they remain resolute in defending what is now accepted as the most toxic, corrupt, dishonest and immoral Administration in U.S. history.<br /><br />To suggest that Romney has LOST ground since Oct. 12th is pure delusional thinking and posturing. For their sake I hope the replacement for Obamacare covers their chronic conditions, for the coming repudiation of everything liberal will last a generation.Nate Platinumnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-40831037064390145282012-10-20T18:40:45.307-07:002012-10-20T18:40:45.307-07:00Everybody on God's green earth knows this race...Everybody on God's green earth knows this race is over except @natesilver. Even Axlerod knows it's over. Axe is just going through the motions and collecting a paycheck. Chuckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03608085698110306720noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4191285729581741754.post-69835489452092607672012-10-20T17:53:35.252-07:002012-10-20T17:53:35.252-07:00Nate Silver is a Democrat hack.Nate Silver is a Democrat hack.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com